Lailara Lift Math

Event Anatomy

← Back to the Scorecard

PRE-1980

WALMART · CHP-DG-007 · TPR_deep · 29.98% off · 2 weeks · 2024-08-31 to 2024-09-07 · scan_based

Where the promoted volume came from

Units over the promo weeks, Method 0 baseline. The middle bar is volume that would have sold anyway; only the last bar is what the estimator credits to the promo.

6,398Gross promoted3,225− Subsidized baseline3,174= Net incremental

Gross promoted volume minus the subsidized baseline the estimator would have expected leaves net incremental lift. Dip (pantry-load) and transfer (cannibalization) are not shown — these methods don't yet estimate them; both are estimable from observed data and arrive as their own bars in a later release.

Net incremental margin
$6,966
Accrued trade cost
$5,255
Return on spend
1.33×
Giveaway share
46%

Giveaway share is measured over complying stores only, while the bars show all promoted volume — so dividing the two bars above will not reproduce it exactly.

How wrong is this estimate? The error against known truth lives in the accuracy view — never on this page. →